I had a look at the AR of infomedia to figure out what could be the downside risk to the arbitrage opportunity I discussed in my previous post


Following are my observations/ conclusion from what I read in the AR

  • Infomedia is a fairly profitable company with a networth of 155 cr and a cash and equivalents of 126 cr.
  • The company has a Return on capital in excess of 30 % (invested capital net of cash, net profit excluding exceptional items)
  • The company is a zero debt company and is does not have a very capital intensive business.
  • The net profit growth in mid to high single digits (7-9%).
  • The publishing/ printing industry is growing at a moderate rate ( 8-13 % on avg – see macmillan performance which has a similar business as Infomedia)
  • A fair valuation would be around 16-20 times free cash flow. Currently the free cash flow seems to be around 7-8 Rs / share. I would at best value the company at 160-180 Rs/share. So at 210 the company seems to fairly valued. Defintely not a long term buy at the current prices


So if I put the price after the buyback at around 180-190, the annualised return seems to be around 30%. Ofcourse the post-buyback price is just a guess on my part.

I still need to find how tendering of the shares is done? Does the company send some documents to the investor and is the investor supposed to fill up some papers to tender his shares? If anyone knows how the process works, please let me know or leave a comment.

3 Comments

  1. Avinash Kochchar says:

    In case of Buy Back of shares, the company sends tender forms to the shareholders which need to be filled up and sent to the registrar to the offer.

  2. Rohit says:

    thanks avinash for the input

    rgds
    rohit

  3. Shankar says:

    Hi Rohit,

    If the buyback is at 245 rupees and over a lakh investors in India know about this … why arent people garnering more shares and why is the stock at 200 levels only?

    Warm Rgds
    Shankar

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